‰  NOW 18 WPM transition file follows‰

Geomagnetic conditions are expected to rise from quiet to minor
storm levels on 18 November due to the expected effect of a high
speed solar wind stream from a coronal hole and possible glancing
blow from the CMEs observed late on 15 and early on 16 November.
This coronal hole effect may keep the conditions enhanced to
unsettled to minor storm levels on 19 November.  Increased
geomagnetic activity expected due to coronal hole high speed wind
stream from 18 and 19 November, 2015 Solar activity declined again
this week, with average daily sunspot numbers for the November 12 to
18 reporting week at 43.3, down from 72.3 during the previous seven
days. Average daily solar flux was 105.5, down from 109.4.
Geomagnetic A indices were down, which is generally a good thing for
HF propagation. The average daily planetary A index slipped from 25
to 11 and average daily mid latitude A index from 19 to 9. All four
of these average A indexes being whole integers is an odd
occurrence.  Predicted solar flux is 108 on November 20 and 21, 110
on November 22 and 23, 108 on November 24, 100 on November 25 and
26, 110 on November 27, 115 on November 28 and 29, 120 on November
30 and December 1, 115 on December 2, 110 on December 3 and 4, and
105 on December 5 to 14. Flux values then drop to a low of 95 on
December 17 and 18, then rise back to 120 on December 27 and 28.
Predicted planetary A index is 10 on November 20, 8 on November 21
to 24, then 15, 10 and 5 on November 25 to 27, 8 on November 28 and
29, 25 on November 30 and December 1, then 15, 8, 5, 12, 20 and 25
on December 2 to 7 and 18, 8, 12, 10, 8, 10 and 8 on December 8 to
14.  Another period of high geomagnetic activity is December 27 and
28, when a planetary A index of 25 is forecast.  The planetary A
index is a metric related to geomagnetic conditions, and OK1HH of
the Czech Propagation Interest Group has his own geomagnetic
forecast, related here.  He expects the geomagnetic field will be
mostly quiet November 20, quiet on November 21 to 25, quiet to
unsettled November 26, quiet conditions again no November 27 and 28,
quiet to unsettled November 29, active to disturbed November 30
through December 3, quiet to active December 4 to 6, active to
disturbed December 7 and 8, quiet on December 9, quiet to unsettled
December 10, mostly quiet December 11, quiet to unsettled December
12 and 13, quiet December 14 and quiet to active December 15.  OK1HH
also predicts increased solar wind on November 20 to 22, 29 and 30,
December 1 and 2, 5 to 12, and 16 to 20. Now here it gets a bit
complicated.  He sees a lower probability of enhanced solar wind on
November 20 to 22, December 1, 5 to 7, 11 to 12 and 16 to 20. Got
that?  These numbers look pretty good for the ARRL Phone Sweepstakes
this weekend. ARRL Sweepstakes is a great domestic contest with a
long history, and if you want to have some fun with a casual effort,
getting on as a new participant in the last few hours of the contest
is always a good idea.  There will be hundreds of weary operators
trying to squeeze out a few more contacts, and you will be a fresh
new one who they will all want to work.  Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, South Florida, North Dakota, Northern New York, Ontario North,
Northern Territories, and Manitoba.  See //www.arrl.org/sweepstakes
for rules and details. Note you can only operate 24 hours out of the
30 hour contest period.  Sunspot numbers were 29, 50, 48, 63, 44,
33, and 36, with a mean of 43.3. 10.7 cm flux was 103.5, 102.9,
106.3, 105.8, 105.6, 107.1, and 107.6, with a mean of 105.5.
Estimated planetary A indices were 5, 14, 10, 9, 14, 8, and 17, with
a mean of 11. Estimated mid latitude A indices were 4, 12, 10, 7, 9,
7, and 14, with a mean of 9.

‰  END OF 18 WPM transition file ƒ