‰  NOW 18 WPM transition file follows‰

The geomagnetic conditions are expected to vary between active
levels to major storms for the next three days. This is because the
solar winds are expected to be in excess of 600 km/s associated with
a very large positive polarity coronal hole. The storm intensities
are expected to be slightly stronger than that observed in the
previous two solar rotations, previous rotation Ap was 32,
associated with this coronal hole because the earth/sun coupling
efficiency is highest during the equinox periods.  Thus there is
chance that aurora may be visible on the local nights of 29
September from Tasmania and some parts of Victoria, Australia.
INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED DUE TO CORONAL HOLE HIGH
SPEED WIND STREAM FROM 29 SEPTEMBER 2016 TO 01 OCTOBER 2016
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST is, 29 September Minor Storm, 30
September Minor Storm, 01 October Active to Minor Storm This weeks
average daily sunspot numbers and solar flux changed little from the
previous seven days. Average daily sunspot numbers changed from 29.9
to 29.7, and average daily solar flux declined just two points from
83.4 to 81.4.  Average planetary A index was much higher, changing
from 8.9 to 19.7, and average mid latitude A index changed from 7.6
to 12.3.  Projected solar flux for the near term is 81 and 78 on
September 30 through October 1, 80 on October 2 and 3, 82 and 85 on
October 4 and 5, 90 on October 6 to 14, 95 on October 15 to 18, 90
on October 19 to 21, 85 on October 22 to 27, 80 on October 28 to 31,
85 on November 1 to 3, and 90 on November 4 to 10.  Predicted
planetary A index is 38, 30, 20, 14, 12, 10 and 6 on September 30
through October 6, and 5 on October 7 to 14.  Then it is 8, 10, 20,
10, on October 15 to 18, 5 on October 19 to 22, then 18 and 12 on
October 23 and 24, 35 on October 25 to 27, then 25, 20, 16, 10 and 8
on October 28 through November 1, 5 on November 2 to 10, and 8 on
November 11.  NVIS is Near Vertical Incidence Skywave propagation.
Here are some references on the web,
//www.w0ipl.net/ECom/NVIS/nvis.htm //www.qsl.net/wb5ude/nvis/
//hflink.com/propagation/ With the Fall Equinox and geomagnetic
storms this week due to a fast moving stream of solar wind, 10
meters has come alive on north/south paths. The last couple of days
Uli, VP6AH has had a loud signal on 10 meters to North America. He
is running just 100 watts and a dipole antenna and was over S9 on my
mobile Sept. 27 about 2015z.  H44GC, VK9NZ, FY5KE, VP8LP and others
have also been active on 10.  Sunspot numbers were 30, 49, 47, 18,
23, 21, and 20, with a mean of 29.7. 10.7 cm flux was 85.1, 85.5,
84.9, 84.6, 86.8, 85.6, and 84.4, with a mean of 81.4. Estimated
planetary A indices were 4, 4, 5, 23, 22, 38, and 42, with a mean of
19.7.  Estimated mid latitude A indices were 4, 3, 4, 12, 18, 21,
and 24, with a mean of 12.3.

‰  END OF 18 WPM transition file ƒ