‰  NOW 18 WPM transition file follows‰

The high speed streams associated with a recurrent positive polarity
Northern hemisphere coronal hole are expected to persist for a few
days. If the Bz component of the IMF turned strongly southward for
prolonged periods, earth could experience Minor Storm conditions on
13 October.  Increased geomagnetic activity expected due to a
coronal hole high speed wind stream for 13 October 2017.  Earlier
Spaceweather.com reported, A hole in the Suns atmosphere is spewing
solar wind toward Earth, and this is sparking bright auroras around
the poles on October 11. At the time of this alert, a G1 class
geomagnetic storm is underway. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70
percent chance of continued storms at high latitudes on October 12
and 13 as Earth moves deeper into the solar wind stream. Visit
//www.spaceweather.com for pictures and updated forecasts.  There
were no sunspots visible on October 8 through 12, and the last new
sunspot to appear was September 25, which was still visible on
October 7, but not since then.  Average daily sunspot numbers for
the past week, October 5 to 11, dropped from 32.6 the previous seven
days to 8.4. Average daily solar flux declined from 87.9 to 76.8.
Geomagnetic activity also dropped but is now increasing. Average
daily planetary A index went from 16.3 to 8.9, and average mid
latitude A index went from 12.7 to 8.  Predicted solar flux is 70 on
October 13 to 17, then 72 on October 18 and 19, 80 on October 20 to
31, 76 on November 1 to 5, 74 on November 6 to 14, 76 on November
15, and 80 on November 16 to 26.  Predicted planetary A index is 35,
25, 20, 10, and 8  on October 13 to 17, 12 on October 18 and 19, 5
on October 20 to 23, then 35 and 45 on October 24 and 25, 15 on
October 26 and 27, then 10 and 8 on October 28 and 29, 5 on October
30 and 31, then 8 and 10 on November 1 and 2, 5 on November 3 to 5,
then 8, 25, 30, 36, 28, 16 and 8 on November 6 to 12, 5 on November
13 to 19, then 35 and 45 on November 20 and 21, 15 on November 22
and 23, then 10, 8 and 5 on November 24 to 26.  There is a new video
from Dr. Tamitha Skov, Space Weather Woman, available on You Tube.
I understand Dr. Skov is studying for the amateur radio exam.  Here
is a report from N8II in West Virginia, sent in on October 9, There
were quite decent conditions over the weekend  OH0Z Aland Island was
S9 on 15M SSB both Saturday and Sunday. Despite a flux of 72 today,
I heard northern Sweden on 15 CW and worked several Ukraine stations
on 15 CW with good signals in the 1400z hour along with others
farther west in Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Germany, England, Spain
and France. 15 has been open well to EU almost every day in the past
2 weeks. I worked the CA QSO party and 20 was excellent well into
the evening Saturday, open past 0045z. 15 was very good into CA from
1600 to 2000z Saturday with southern CA noticeably favored on Sunday
until around 1900z.  Starting at 2007z I worked 6 southern CA
stations on 10 CW all less than S9, some weak.  N4PN in Macon, GA
reported over 100 CA QSOs on 10 in the party.  Sunspot numbers were
26, 22, 11, 0, 0, 0, and 0, with a mean of 8.4. 10.7 cm flux was
84.7, 84.1, 79.6, 76.7, 72.3, 70.9, and 69.6, with a mean of 76.8.
Estimated planetary A indices were 7, 9, 5, 4, 3, 4, and 30, with a
mean of 8.9.  Estimated mid latitude A indices were 6, 6, 5, 3, 2,
13, and 21, with a mean of 8.

‰  END OF 18 WPM transition file ƒ