‰  NOW 18 WPM transition file follows‰

Solar activity increased last week. Compared to the previous seven
days, average daily sunspot number increased from 1.6 to 12.6, while
average daily solar flux rose from 68.9 to 71. After six days with
sunspots making a re appearance, October 12 to 17, there were no
sunspots on Thursday, October 18.  Sunspot area was listed at 0 on
October 15 to 17, which means that the area was less than 10
millionths of a solar hemisphere. See
//ftp.swpc.noaa.gov/pub/indices/DSD.txt for daily sunspot area.
Geomagnetic indicators were quieter. Average daily planetary A index
dropped from 14.1 to 7.4, and average mid latitude A index went from
10.3. to 7.3.  Predicted solar flux is 70 on October 19 to 22, 68 on
October 23 to 26, 69 on October 27 to November 4, 70 on November 5
and 6, rising to 72 on November 7 to 17, 70 on November 18 to 20, 69
on November 21 to December 1, and 70 on December 2.  Predicted
planetary A index is 18, 10 and 8 on October 19 to 21, 5 on October
22 and 23, 10 on October 24, 8 on October 25 and 26, 5 on October 27
through November 2, then 22 and 20 on November 3 and 4, 15 on
November 5 and 6, then 8, 5, 12, 8 and 10 on November 7 to 11, 5 on
November 12 and 13, then 12, 18, 10, 5, 10 and 8 on November 14 to
19, 5 on November 20 and 21, 10 on November 22, 5 on November 23 to
29, then 22, 18 and 10 on November 30 through December 2.
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period October 19 to November
14, 2018 from F.K. Janda, OK1HH.  Once again we find ourselves in a
waiting game with the Sun. Not only do we have a repeat offender, a
coronal hole that sent us fast solar wind last month is about to
send some again, but we also have several active regions firing
small solar flares and mini solar storms. This burst of eruptive
activity is a bit surprising because the Sun has been in near
hibernation for a while now. I captured my excitement in the above
picture, unfortunately, no way to display the image in the
propagation bulletin, but watch the video.  I taped labels 1 and 2
on my screen to show where two near simultaneous eruptions occurred
on opposite sides of the Sun on October 12.  Although I accidentally
blocked the timestamp, the time of the first was 1355 UTC and the
second was 1415 UTC. I wanted to share this with you so when you
watch the STEREO segment in the video, you will know when and
exactly where on the Sun to focus your eyes.  So, the obvious
question is, Will any of these eruptions hit Earth? Right now,
likely not. But it does feel good to watch active regions for solar
storm launches again, even if this is only a momentary burst of
activity.  Nonetheless, if none of the recently launched mini solar
storms hit Earth, we still have fast wind from coronal holes to keep
us busy, which arguably could last us through the entire solar
minimum.  Monthly propagation charts between four USA regions and
twelve overseas locations can be found on the ARRL/Propagation web
page.  Find better information and tutorials on propagation on the
K9LA web site.  Sunspot numbers were 0, 11, 22, 22, 11, 11, and 11,
with a mean of 12.6. 10.7 cm flux was 70.9, 71.6, 72.4, 71.5, 70,
69.7, and 70, with a mean of 71. Estimated planetary A indices were
9, 5, 14, 6, 10, 5, and 3, with a mean of 7.4.  Estimated mid
latitude A indices were 7, 14, 12, 4, 7, 4, and 3, with a mean of
7.3.

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