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SEATTLE, WA, Nov 26, 2003--This short propagation update is going out early, since ARRL headquarters will be closed Thursday and Friday for the Thanksgiving holiday. We'll report sunspot numbers, solar flux and A indices for November 20-26 in a subsequent bulletin during the week of December 1.
Solar flux and sunspot numbers are expected to trend slightly lower than now. Solar flux for the past week has been running from 171 to 178, and for the CQ World Wide DX Contest CW the weekend of November 29-30, values should run 15 to 20 points lower.
After settling down over the next two days, geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet, which should be great news for contesters.
For a last-minute propagation assessment before the contest weekend, check the NW7US site. To see which way the interplanetary magnetic field is pointing, check SpaceWeather.com. This information appears under the heading "Interplanetary Mag. Field"--just below the sunspot number on the left-hand side of the page. If it is pointing north, which it was as of about 1630 UTC today, conditions should be fairly quiet and stable--even if there is a strong solar wind.
Amateur solar observer Tad Cook, K7RA,
Seattle, Washington, provides this weekly report on solar conditions and
propagation. This report also is available via W1AW every Friday and an
abbreviated version also appears in The ARRL Letter. Readers
may contact the author via k7ra@arrl.net.